Last week (April 7-13, 2025), the adhesive short fiber market continued to be weak. According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of April 13, 2025, the average price of the adhesive short fiber market was 13480 yuan/ton, a decrease of 120 yuan/ton from the same period last week, with a weekly decline of 0.88%.
Last week (April 7-13, 2025), both the raw material main material dissolution slurry market and the auxiliary material liquid alkali market fell, while the sulfuric acid market remained stable, and the cost side market prices continued to decline; The overall supply of adhesive short fibers in the market decreased slightly during the week, and some manufacturers had high inventory levels, making it difficult to find favorable support from the supply side; The demand in the terminal market remains weak, and downstream yarn companies are experiencing sluggish shipments. Currently, the main consumption of raw material inventory is low, and the enthusiasm for replenishment is not good. The fatigue of the demand side remains unchanged. The price center of the upstream raw material market has fallen, and downstream yarn manufacturers are mostly adopting a wait-and-see attitude. The support on both the cost and demand sides is weak, coupled with the continuous accumulation of inventory in the adhesive short fiber market. Some manufacturers are selling at lower prices, and the supply of low-priced goods in the market has increased, resulting in a weak decline in the price of adhesive short fiber market.
In terms of cost: Last week (April 7-13, 2025), the market price of raw material dissolution slurry continued to decline, the market price of auxiliary material liquid alkali narrowly declined, the market price of sulfuric acid remained stable, and the market price of raw materials significantly decreased. The average production cost of adhesive short fibers also decreased.
Supply and demand: Last week, the operating rate of the adhesive short fiber industry remained at around 81.47%, with a decrease in production compared to last week. During the week, some units of the adhesive short fiber factory underwent load reduction maintenance, resulting in a decline in overall supply in the industry. The speed of on-site shipments is gradually slowing down, and the inventory levels of various manufacturers are showing an increasing trend. The inventory level of the adhesive short fiber industry is improving. The inventory of finished products in the downstream cotton yarn market has increased, and prices have entered a downward channel. Downstream yarn market transactions are not ideal, and some yarn factories have reduced their operating loads, resulting in a decrease in demand for adhesive short fibers. During the week, they maintained a high level of replenishment for essential needs, but the demand side did not improve.
Market forecast:
On the raw material side, the main material dissolution slurry market and the auxiliary material sulfuric acid market are mainly consolidated, and there is still a possibility of a decline in the liquid alkali market. Therefore, it is expected that the market price of adhesive short fiber raw materials will continue to be weak this week, and the cost side support will be insufficient.
Supply and demand side: Due to the impact of high inventory, some adhesive short fiber manufacturers may continue to reduce their equipment load, so it is expected that the supply of adhesive short fiber market will decrease in the short term; The downstream market is experiencing sluggish shipments, leading to a slowing down trend in the delivery speed of adhesive short fibers. As a result, there is less demand for replenishment, so it is expected that there will be little positive support for the demand side of the adhesive short fiber market this week.
Overall, the main raw material dissolution pulp market may be weakly consolidated, with some adhesive short fiber manufacturers having high inventory and downstream yarn factories mainly consuming raw material inventory. With mixed news on the market, Business Society analysis predicts that the domestic adhesive short fiber market will mainly consolidate slightly in the short term, with prices expected to be between 13300-13500 yuan/ton.
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