The market for trichloromethane experienced a significant decline in November. According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyishe, as of November 30th, the price of trichloromethane bulk water in Shandong Province was 2066 yuan/ton, a decrease of 28.43% from 2887 yuan/ton at the beginning of the month.
Due to the tight supply side in the early stage, prices remained strong. In the later stage, on the one hand, the support for raw materials weakened, and on the other hand, the pressure on the supply and demand side further increased. As a result, the factory price of enterprises was lowered, and the price of trichloromethane fell from a high level.
In the first half of November, the start-up of methane chloride plants was affected by the maintenance of some enterprise facilities, resulting in an overall decline. The lowest start-up value in the first half of the month was around 6.2%; In the second half of the month, with the resumption of production of early maintenance equipment, the operating rate gradually increased to around 7.6%.
In November, the price of raw material methanol fluctuated and rose, while the price of liquid chlorine remained strong at the previous high level and significantly decreased at the end of the month. The cost support for trichloromethane weakened from strong to weak. According to the commodity market analysis system of Business Society, as of November 30th, the spot price of methanol was 2510 yuan/ton, an increase of 3.50% from 2425 yuan/ton at the beginning of the month. The high point during the cycle was 2520 yuan/ton, and the low point was 2365 yuan/ton; At the end of November, the acceptance price of liquid chlorine tank trucks in Shandong region was 300 yuan/ton, which was lower than the price of 600 yuan/ton at the beginning of the month.
In the off-season, there is only a small amount of rigid demand support for refrigerants at the terminal. In November, the price of refrigerant R22 was slightly lower and the operating level was low, resulting in weak support for the demand for trichloromethane. In 2023, the total production quota for R22 will be reduced by 19% to 181800 tons, and overall support for the demand for trichloromethane will weaken in the medium to long term.
The methane chloride data analyst from Business Society believes that the demand for trichloromethane is weak in the short term, but there is still some support for raw material prices. It is expected that the trichloromethane market will be weak and consolidate in the short term. In the medium to long term, under the condition of no strong cost support, the market for trichloromethane will basically show a trend of range fluctuation and consolidation due to demand constraints.
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