Overview of 441 # Silicon Price Trends
| Thiourea |
This week, the price of 441 # metal silicon rose first and then fell. Due to the expectation of limited electricity due to high temperature weather, the resumption of production in Sichuan region is slow, and silicon factories continue to suffer losses, leading to a rebound in the price of metal silicon. However, the downward quotation from major factories in Xinjiang has dragged down market sentiment, and silicon prices have fallen again. According to the commodity market analysis system of the business community, the average price of 441 # metal silicon in the Spot market was 13630 yuan/ton, down 0.80% on a week on month basis. In the futures market, SI2309 rose or fell by 3.37% throughout the week, closing at 13665 yuan/ton.
The prices of 441 # silicon in various regions on the 17th are as follows:
The price range of # 441 metal silicon in the Huangpu Port area is 13000-13600 yuan/ton, with an average price of 13300 yuan/ton; The price range of # 441 metal silicon in Port of Tianjin is 12900-13600 yuan/ton, with an average price of 13250 yuan/ton; The price range of # 441 metal silicon in Kunming region is 14000-14100 yuan/ton, with an average of 114050 yuan/ton; The price range of # 441 metallic silicon in Sichuan region is 13500-13700 yuan/ton, with an average of 13600 yuan/ton; The price range of Shanghai # 441 metal silicon is 13800-14100 yuan/ton, with an average price of 13950 yuan/ton.
Factors Influencing the Price of Silicon Metal
On the supply side:
As of July 13th, there were 315 silicon metal furnaces operating, with an overall start-up rate of 42.76%, an increase of 5 furnaces compared to the previous month. Further response from silicon factories in the northwest region, some companies in Sichuan have delayed resuming production due to restrictions on film production, while the number of furnaces opened in Yunnan remains stable. The overall number of furnaces has increased slightly, and the supply is still relatively loose.
In terms of demand:
This week, the price of polycrystalline silicon has bottomed out and stabilized, with the mainstream range of 60-75000 yuan/ton for single crystal dense materials of grade one solar energy. Recently, the supply pressure in the silicon material market has eased, but demand is relatively weak, and prices have clearly bottomed out. It is expected that prices will still hover low in the near future, and the probability of an upward trend in the short term is not high.
The domestic organic silicon DMC market price reference is 13660 yuan/ton, and DMC prices continue to decline. The imbalance between supply and demand of organic silicon remains unchanged, and some individual factories plan to undergo maintenance. The weekly operating rate of the aluminum alloy industry remained flat, as the terminal entered the off-season and the procurement of metal silicon slightly weakened.
Future Market Forecast
Overall, there is currently some interference from high temperature power restrictions on the supply side, and due to cost inversion, silicon factories have a strong willingness to raise prices. However, the impact of limited films is limited, and the overall supply side of metal silicon is increasing, while the demand side is still sluggish. Coupled with the large overall inventory volume, silicon prices are being suppressed.
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